Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Zegras 42.6% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 78.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 92.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 89.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Kopitar
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kopitar
Zegras
Last 7: Kopitar 5-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kopitar
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
41.1% (559)
+15.3%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
50.0% (12)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
50.0% (2)
-2.4%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Zegras
Home
56.3% (783)
45.7% (247)
Away
55.5% (825)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Kopitar
Zegras
P1
57.9%
45.5%
P2
54.5%
36.8%
P3
55.2%
41.1%
OT
57.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |