Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 56.6%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 52.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 54.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kopitar
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Trocheck
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
57.8% (626)
-2.9%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
63.6% (151)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
44.0% (141)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Trocheck
Home
56.8% (533)
54.4% (390)
Away
55.3% (535)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Kopitar
Trocheck
P1
55.9%
56.4%
P2
57.1%
58.7%
P3
55.4%
54.8%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |