Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Czarnik wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Schenn 46.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 52.8%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 50.5%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 52.1%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Czarnik
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Czarnik
Schenn
Last 6: Czarnik 2-4 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
2
Czarnik
Schenn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
2
Czarnik
Schenn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
45.6% (798)
-2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
52.8% (127)
-52.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.1% (89)
-12.8%
On power play, Schenn has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Czarnik is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Czarnik shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Schenn
Home
46.1% (76)
46.8% (494)
Away
40.5% (84)
46.3% (520)
By Period
Czarnik
Schenn
P1
44.2%
50.3%
P2
41.2%
47.0%
P3
44.6%
42.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |