Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Malgin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Malgin 40.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 69.4%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 84.0%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 78.5%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Czarnik
Malgin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Czarnik
Malgin
Last 5: Czarnik 5-0 Malgin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
1
0
Czarnik
Malgin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
4
0
Czarnik
Malgin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Malgin
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
38.9% (535)
+6.9%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
42.9% (28)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
50.0% (8)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Malgin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malgin shoots right. Czarnik is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Czarnik shoots right. Malgin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Malgin
Home
45.1% (335)
37.4% (273)
Away
45.6% (331)
40.9% (298)
By Period
Czarnik
Malgin
P1
47.8%
37.2%
P2
47.4%
39.0%
P3
40.6%
40.7%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |