Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Beecher 51.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 94.2%
Defensive zone
Beecher 63.8%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 61.0%
Result
John Beecher favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Czarnik
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Czarnik
Beecher
Last 6: Czarnik 2-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
3
Czarnik
Beecher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
1
Czarnik
Beecher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
53.2% (978)
-7.4%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
72.7% (11)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
45.9% (218)
-8.4%
On power play, Beecher has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Beecher is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Beecher
Home
45.1% (335)
51.9% (551)
Away
45.6% (331)
52.1% (656)
By Period
Czarnik
Beecher
P1
47.8%
53.7%
P2
47.4%
48.1%
P3
40.6%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.1%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |