Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Walker 52.3% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 80.1%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 75.6%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 77.0%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Czarnik
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Czarnik
Walker
Last 5: Czarnik 0-5 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Walker
0
2
Czarnik
Walker
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
0
1
Czarnik
Walker
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
0
2
Czarnik
Walker
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
54.5% (165)
-10.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
40.0% (10)
-6.7%
On power play, Walker has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Czarnik is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Czarnik shoots right. Walker is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Walker
Home
46.1% (76)
57.7% (111)
Away
40.5% (84)
47.0% (66)
By Period
Czarnik
Walker
P1
44.2%
61.2%
P2
41.2%
45.2%
P3
44.6%
56.1%
Final 5 min
37.1%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nathan Walker |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Nathan Walker |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |