Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.9%). Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Cousins 45.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 50.5%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 51.8%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 50.3%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Czarnik
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Czarnik
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Cousins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
44.9% (1,508)
+0.9%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
44.6% (101)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
42.9% (7)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Cousins has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Cousins is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Cousins
Home
45.1% (335)
46.7% (809)
Away
45.6% (331)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Czarnik
Cousins
P1
47.8%
47.5%
P2
47.4%
43.6%
P3
40.6%
43.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |