Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 62.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 58.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Czarnik
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
59.2% (370)
-20.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
40.9% (44)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.7% (58)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Czarnik is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Czarnik shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Stastny
Home
36.2% (47)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.0% (12)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Czarnik
Stastny
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
31.8%
54.2%
P3
37.5%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
21.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%