Austin Czarnik vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 53.8%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 55.6%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 50.5%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Last 5: Czarnik 2-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Czarnik
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
33.7% (895)
+12.1%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
44.2% (52)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
24.3% (37)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Home
45.1% (335)
34.7% (490)
Away
45.6% (331)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Czarnik
Buchnevich
P1
47.8%
34.4%
P2
47.4%
33.7%
P3
40.6%
33.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |