Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.7%). Look for Czarnik on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Krebs 45.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Czarnik leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Czarnik 61.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 63.9%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 50.8%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Czarnik
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Czarnik
Krebs
Last 10: Czarnik 6-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
4
2
Czarnik
Krebs
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
1
Czarnik
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
2
Czarnik
Krebs
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
46.0% (2,159)
-0.2%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
52.5% (99)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
38.6% (171)
-1.1%
On power play, Krebs has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Krebs
Home
45.1% (335)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
45.6% (331)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Czarnik
Krebs
P1
47.8%
45.9%
P2
47.4%
46.4%
P3
40.6%
44.8%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |