Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Krebs 40.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 56.6%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 72.8%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 79.0%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Czarnik
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Czarnik
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
0
Czarnik
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
33.3% (159)
+5.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.5% (13)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Czarnik is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Czarnik shoots right. Krebs is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Krebs
Home
36.2% (47)
37.0% (81)
Away
50.0% (12)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Czarnik
Krebs
P1
50.0%
39.0%
P2
31.8%
32.8%
P3
37.5%
33.9%
Final 5 min
21.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |