Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Nosek 53.4% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 59.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 86.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 64.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Czarnik
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Czarnik
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
1
0
Czarnik
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
55.1% (557)
-16.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.7% (111)
+52.3%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Czarnik is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Czarnik shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Nosek
Home
36.2% (47)
52.3% (342)
Away
50.0% (12)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Czarnik
Nosek
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
31.8%
53.8%
P3
37.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
21.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |