Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Watson 47.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Lowry
Watson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Watson
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Watson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Watson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Watson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Watson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Watson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
41.2% (34)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
37.5% (8)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Watson shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Watson is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Lowry
Watson
Home
52.9% (680)
45.5% (11)
Away
48.5% (615)
38.7% (31)
By Period
Lowry
Watson
P1
51.5%
35.3%
P2
51.5%
27.3%
P3
49.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Austin Watson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |