Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Lizotte 50.8% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 65.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 61.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Matthews
Lizotte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
53.5% (299)
+4.8%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
0.0% (4)
+55.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
38.6% (44)
+12.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lizotte
Home
59.1% (528)
52.0% (198)
Away
55.1% (695)
49.7% (149)
By Period
Matthews
Lizotte
P1
56.2%
50.0%
P2
58.1%
50.9%
P3
56.4%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
56.8%
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.0%