Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Malone 52.2% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.4%
Defensive zone
Malone 53.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Matthews
Malone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malone
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.0% (389)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
45.5% (11)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
52.8% (36)
-3.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malone shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Malone is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malone
Home
56.3% (5,065)
57.1% (161)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
50.2% (275)
By Period
Matthews
Malone
P1
55.5%
55.5%
P2
53.3%
48.2%
P3
52.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Malone
56.0%▲
53.0%
52.8%