Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Malone 49.6% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 59.6%
Defensive zone
Malone 56.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Matthews
Malone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Malone
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
54.5% (22)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
20.0% (5)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malone shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Malone is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Matthews
Malone
Home
60.7% (572)
37.5% (16)
Away
52.4% (657)
63.6% (11)
By Period
Matthews
Malone
P1
60.3%
30.8%
P2
55.6%
83.3%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Malone
56.0%▲
53.0%
48.1%