Auston Matthews vs Brayden Schenn
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Schenn 52.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 89.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 72.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Matthews
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Schenn
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Schenn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Schenn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
52.2% (962)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
51.2% (166)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
57.4% (54)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Home / Away
Matthews
Schenn
Home
59.1% (528)
51.1% (575)
Away
55.1% (695)
53.4% (607)
By Period
Matthews
Schenn
P1
56.2%
51.4%
P2
58.1%
52.7%
P3
56.4%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |