Auston Matthews vs Connor McMichael
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs McMichael 48.3% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 62.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 66.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Matthews
McMichael
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
43.7% (71)
+14.6%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
52.4% (21)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
52.9% (17)
-2.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Matthews
McMichael
Home
59.1% (528)
42.6% (54)
Away
55.1% (695)
50.9% (55)
By Period
Matthews
McMichael
P1
56.2%
42.9%
P2
58.1%
40.5%
P3
56.4%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%