Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Krejci 50.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 71.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 73.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Matthews
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Matthews
Krejci
Last 7: Matthews 5-2 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Krejci
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Krejci
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
2
Matthews
Krejci
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
48.8% (645)
+6.3%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
66.2% (68)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
45.8% (24)
+4.2%
On power play, Krejci has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Matthews is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Matthews shoots left. Krejci is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Home / Away
Matthews
Krejci
Home
57.0% (440)
51.9% (374)
Away
53.1% (480)
48.8% (363)
By Period
Matthews
Krejci
P1
54.0%
52.2%
P2
55.1%
51.4%
P3
56.4%
47.8%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |