Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Krejci 47.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 70.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 83.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Matthews
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
47.2% (669)
+5.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
53.7% (54)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
35.3% (17)
+39.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +39.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Home / Away
Matthews
Krejci
Home
54.8% (515)
52.0% (381)
Away
50.2% (534)
42.6% (359)
By Period
Matthews
Krejci
P1
54.4%
47.2%
P2
50.4%
43.7%
P3
51.8%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |