Auston Matthews vs Derek MacKenzie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.1%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 84.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 69.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Matthews
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Matthews
MacKenzie
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
MacKenzie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
9
Matthews
MacKenzie
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Matthews
MacKenzie
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
54.9% (3,660)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
55.9% (102)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
46.7% (1,158)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Matthews
MacKenzie
Home
56.3% (5,065)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Matthews
MacKenzie
P1
55.5%
51.9%
P2
53.3%
53.0%
P3
52.8%
54.0%
OT
56.6%
65.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | OT | 03:21 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |