Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs McKegg 46.9% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 67.7%
Defensive zone
McKegg 57.8%
Neutral zone
McKegg 54.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Matthews
McKegg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
45.9% (146)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
35.7% (14)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Matthews
McKegg
Home
60.7% (572)
45.3% (64)
Away
52.4% (657)
44.8% (96)
By Period
Matthews
McKegg
P1
60.3%
48.1%
P2
55.6%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%