Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Beagle 55.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 64.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 64.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Matthews
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Matthews
Beagle
Last 5: Matthews 1-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
4
Matthews
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
57.7% (572)
-5.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
28.6% (7)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
52.5% (179)
-15.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Matthews is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Matthews shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Matthews
Beagle
Home
54.3% (420)
58.2% (378)
Away
50.3% (491)
54.2% (380)
By Period
Matthews
Beagle
P1
54.2%
58.8%
P2
54.3%
51.9%
P3
47.8%
58.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |