Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 57.1%). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Beagle 55.9% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 73.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Matthews
Beagle
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
57.2% (353)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
87.5% (16)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
51.6% (95)
-1.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Matthews
Beagle
Home
60.7% (572)
62.0% (200)
Away
52.4% (657)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Matthews
Beagle
P1
60.3%
55.8%
P2
55.6%
60.1%
P3
53.3%
54.5%
OT
45.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%