Auston Matthews vs Johan Larsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Larsson 49.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 58.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Matthews
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
20
(38 meetings)
18
20
Matthews
Larsson
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
13
1
Matthews
Larsson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
11
Matthews
Larsson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
8
Matthews
Larsson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.5% (4,382)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
47.7% (153)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
43.8% (714)
+6.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Matthews
Larsson
Home
56.3% (5,065)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Matthews
Larsson
P1
55.5%
51.6%
P2
53.3%
49.7%
P3
52.8%
47.2%
OT
56.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |