Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Turris 51.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 53.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 81.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 70.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Matthews
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Turris
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Matthews
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
51.1% (799)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
58.1% (62)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
45.5% (11)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Matthews is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Matthews shoots left. Turris is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Matthews
Turris
Home
59.8% (351)
53.5% (507)
Away
49.0% (337)
48.8% (365)
By Period
Matthews
Turris
P1
58.0%
52.8%
P2
49.6%
54.1%
P3
55.4%
47.3%
OT
83.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |