Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Turris 50.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 57.5%
Defensive zone
Turris 57.3%
Neutral zone
Turris 58.0%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Matthews
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Matthews
Turris
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
6
Matthews
Turris
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
5
7
Matthews
Turris
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
3
Matthews
Turris
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.2% (7,653)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.4% (1,312)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
48.6% (580)
+1.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Matthews
Turris
Home
56.3% (5,065)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Matthews
Turris
P1
55.5%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
50.8%
P3
52.8%
48.4%
OT
56.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |