Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.7% vs Turris 48.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 71.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 64.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Matthews
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Matthews
Turris
Last 7: Matthews 4-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Turris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Turris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Matthews
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (795)
49.7% (165)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
40.0% (15)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
37.5% (24)
+6.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Matthews is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Matthews shoots left. Turris is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Matthews
Turris
Home
53.5% (454)
48.5% (99)
Away
50.1% (413)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Matthews
Turris
P1
54.8%
49.2%
P2
52.2%
51.9%
P3
48.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |