Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedlak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Sedlak 47.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 57.3%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 76.4%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 54.3%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Matthews
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Matthews
Sedlak
Last 5: Matthews 2-3 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Sedlak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
0
1
Matthews
Sedlak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedlak
1
2
Matthews
Sedlak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
48.4% (161)
+4.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
55.6% (9)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
25.0% (20)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Sedlak is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Matthews
Sedlak
Home
54.8% (515)
51.9% (104)
Away
50.2% (534)
39.5% (86)
By Period
Matthews
Sedlak
P1
54.4%
45.6%
P2
50.4%
46.6%
P3
51.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Lukas Sedlak |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |