Auston Matthews vs Marat Khusnutdinov
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Khusnutdinov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Khusnutdinov 48.3% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Khusnutdinov 55.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 63.6%
Neutral zone
Khusnutdinov 52.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Khusnutdinov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
0
2
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
43.6% (101)
+16.2%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
80.0% (5)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
100.0% (3)
-43.7%
On penalty kill, Khusnutdinov has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Home
60.0% (520)
48.8% (41)
Away
59.3% (452)
45.6% (68)
By Period
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
P1
60.2%
47.6%
P2
58.2%
57.1%
P3
60.4%
34.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▬
41.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |