Auston Matthews vs Marat Khusnutdinov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Khusnutdinov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Khusnutdinov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Khusnutdinov 45.5% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 69.8%
Defensive zone
Khusnutdinov 72.9%
Neutral zone
Khusnutdinov 54.7%
Result
Marat Khusnutdinov favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Last 7: Matthews 3-4 Khusnutdinov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
0
2
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khusnutdinov
1
2
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
45.6% (563)
+8.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
50.0% (12)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
37.1% (70)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khusnutdinov shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Khusnutdinov is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
Home
56.3% (5,065)
45.2% (263)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
44.5% (382)
By Period
Matthews
Khusnutdinov
P1
55.5%
48.6%
P2
53.3%
47.2%
P3
52.8%
38.9%
OT
56.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Khusnutdinov
40.0%▬
41.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Marat Khusnutdinov |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Marat Khusnutdinov |