Auston Matthews vs Michael Amadio
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Amadio 48.7% (+18.5%)
Offensive zone
Amadio 56.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.3%
Neutral zone
Amadio 55.0%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Matthews
Amadio
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
50.0% (14)
+9.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
0.0% (1)
+64.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
0.0% (2)
+56.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Amadio is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Matthews
Amadio
Home
60.0% (520)
50.0% (6)
Away
59.3% (452)
36.4% (11)
By Period
Matthews
Amadio
P1
60.2%
42.9%
P2
58.2%
33.3%
P3
60.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
41.2%