Auston Matthews vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Granlund 48.4% (+11.5%)
Offensive zone
Granlund 54.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 50.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 54.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Matthews
Granlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
48.7% (446)
+11.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
56.6% (99)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
31.1% (61)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Matthews
Granlund
Home
60.0% (520)
53.3% (255)
Away
59.3% (452)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Matthews
Granlund
P1
60.2%
51.3%
P2
58.2%
48.8%
P3
60.4%
44.4%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%