Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 55.7%). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Thompson 54.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Matthews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Matthews
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
55.5% (236)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
60.0% (5)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
56.5% (46)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Matthews
Thompson
Home
60.7% (572)
53.1% (128)
Away
52.4% (657)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Matthews
Thompson
P1
60.3%
59.0%
P2
55.6%
55.4%
P3
53.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |