Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aman shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Aman 41.1% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 72.3%
Defensive zone
Aman 57.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 57.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Matthews
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Aman
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Aman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
2
3
Matthews
Aman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
40.2% (664)
+13.8%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
33.3% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
34.3% (35)
+15.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Matthews
Aman
Home
56.3% (5,065)
39.6% (341)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
40.1% (367)
By Period
Matthews
Aman
P1
55.5%
41.9%
P2
53.3%
42.1%
P3
52.8%
35.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nils Aman |