Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Aman 40.2% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.5%
Defensive zone
Aman 67.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Matthews
Aman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Aman
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Aman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Aman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
2
3
Matthews
Aman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Aman
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
39.0% (439)
+13.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
42.9% (7)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
25.0% (28)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aman shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Aman is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Matthews
Aman
Home
54.8% (515)
39.8% (259)
Away
50.2% (534)
36.3% (215)
By Period
Matthews
Aman
P1
54.4%
38.9%
P2
50.4%
41.7%
P3
51.8%
33.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nils Aman |