Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zohorna on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Zohorna 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 56.9%
Defensive zone
Zohorna 63.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Matthews
Zohorna
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Matthews
Zohorna
Last 5: Matthews 2-3 Zohorna
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zohorna
2
3
Matthews
Zohorna
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zohorna
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
48.7% (39)
+4.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
100.0% (2)
-65.4%
On power play, Zohorna has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zohorna shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Zohorna is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zohorna
Home
54.8% (515)
52.4% (21)
Away
50.2% (534)
50.0% (20)
By Period
Matthews
Zohorna
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
50.4%
53.8%
P3
51.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
52.4%
Zohorna
52.0%▲
49.3%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Radim Zohorna |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Radim Zohorna |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Radim Zohorna |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |