Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Sheahan 49.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.3%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 92.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 74.0%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Matthews
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Sheahan
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
3
Matthews
Sheahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Matthews
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
50.9% (613)
+4.2%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
55.0% (20)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
42.8% (201)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Sheahan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Matthews
Sheahan
Home
57.0% (440)
51.1% (409)
Away
53.1% (480)
47.1% (425)
By Period
Matthews
Sheahan
P1
54.0%
46.8%
P2
55.1%
54.6%
P3
56.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |