Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.8%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 86.1%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 61.1%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Matthews
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Matthews
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
50.7% (357)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.0% (8)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
40.2% (194)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Matthews
Sheahan
Home
60.7% (572)
44.8% (248)
Away
52.4% (657)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Matthews
Sheahan
P1
60.3%
46.2%
P2
55.6%
50.5%
P3
53.3%
44.7%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |