Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 50.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 74.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Matthews
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Matthews
Getzlaf
Last 8: Matthews 6-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
51.6% (812)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
55.3% (94)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
45.2% (126)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Matthews is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Matthews shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Matthews
Getzlaf
Home
57.0% (440)
52.5% (531)
Away
53.1% (480)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Matthews
Getzlaf
P1
54.0%
47.8%
P2
55.1%
54.6%
P3
56.4%
52.6%
OT
42.9%
27.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |