Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.0%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 55.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 66.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Matthews
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Matthews
Getzlaf
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
0
Matthews
Getzlaf
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
4
Matthews
Getzlaf
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
52.5% (772)
+3.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
60.8% (153)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
48.0% (100)
+2.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Matthews
Getzlaf
Home
60.7% (572)
56.0% (557)
Away
52.4% (657)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Matthews
Getzlaf
P1
60.3%
52.2%
P2
55.6%
53.0%
P3
53.3%
54.9%
OT
45.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | OT | 01:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |