Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Smith 47.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Matthews
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Smith
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
47.8% (178)
+7.3%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
0.0% (2)
+54.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
30.0% (10)
+20.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Smith is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Matthews
Smith
Home
57.0% (440)
46.5% (86)
Away
53.1% (480)
46.2% (104)
By Period
Matthews
Smith
P1
54.0%
61.4%
P2
55.1%
39.4%
P3
56.4%
39.3%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |