Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 75.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 59.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Matthews
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Matthews
Smith
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
4
Matthews
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Matthews
Smith
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Matthews
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
51.2% (342)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
45.3% (985)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Matthews
Smith
Home
56.3% (5,065)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Matthews
Smith
P1
55.5%
49.9%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
52.8%
51.9%
OT
56.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |