Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Goodrow 49.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 60.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 56.8%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 60.7%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Lowry
Goodrow
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lowry
Goodrow
Last 7: Lowry 2-5 Goodrow
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
0
3
Lowry
Goodrow
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
2
Lowry
Goodrow
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Goodrow
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Goodrow
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
49.3% (481)
+6.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
64.6% (48)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
46.2% (212)
-3.9%
On power play, Goodrow has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goodrow shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Goodrow is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Lowry
Goodrow
Home
53.4% (515)
50.6% (385)
Away
52.6% (549)
48.0% (356)
By Period
Lowry
Goodrow
P1
54.2%
49.1%
P2
54.4%
46.9%
P3
50.8%
52.3%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |