Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 56.4% vs Horvat 53.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 56.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Goodrow
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Goodrow
Horvat
Last 8: Goodrow 3-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
Horvat
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
2
Goodrow
Horvat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Goodrow
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (243)
53.1% (994)
+6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.1% (212)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
53.4% (118)
-6.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Goodrow is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Goodrow shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Horvat
Home
61.2% (147)
53.0% (673)
Away
55.7% (115)
54.5% (651)
By Period
Goodrow
Horvat
P1
61.4%
51.9%
P2
52.8%
54.8%
P3
60.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
58.8%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |