Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.9%). Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Horvat 53.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 76.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 51.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Goodrow
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Goodrow
Horvat
Last 5: Goodrow 2-3 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Goodrow
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Horvat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Goodrow
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
53.5% (1,071)
+2.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.3% (272)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
51.3% (76)
-6.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Horvat
Home
57.2% (332)
54.2% (714)
Away
50.3% (292)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Goodrow
Horvat
P1
50.8%
53.5%
P2
59.5%
56.3%
P3
51.8%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |