Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 54.3%). Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Jenner 53.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 80.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 66.4%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Goodrow
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Goodrow
Jenner
Last 7: Goodrow 4-3 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
2
Goodrow
Jenner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
1
Goodrow
Jenner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
54.5% (775)
+1.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
59.1% (198)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
46.4% (140)
-1.8%
On power play, Jenner has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Jenner
Home
57.2% (332)
52.9% (512)
Away
50.3% (292)
55.4% (601)
By Period
Goodrow
Jenner
P1
50.8%
55.0%
P2
59.5%
54.5%
P3
51.8%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |