Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Howden 52.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 56.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 54.4%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 54.7%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Goodrow
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Goodrow
Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Howden
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
2
Goodrow
Howden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Goodrow
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
53.4% (459)
-3.4%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
40.0% (5)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
48.1% (52)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Howden
Home
40.0% (130)
48.8% (258)
Away
45.9% (122)
56.6% (258)
By Period
Goodrow
Howden
P1
48.8%
54.0%
P2
35.0%
53.2%
P3
44.8%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |