Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Coyle 52.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 58.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 51.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Goodrow
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Goodrow
Coyle
Last 7: Goodrow 3-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Goodrow
Coyle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
52.7% (849)
-5.9%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
66.7% (39)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
48.1% (131)
-5.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Coyle
Home
44.3% (314)
53.3% (512)
Away
47.7% (279)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Goodrow
Coyle
P1
46.8%
53.8%
P2
44.0%
47.8%
P3
47.1%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
43.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |