Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Grant 54.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 70.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 51.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 50.8%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Goodrow
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Goodrow
Grant
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
56.5% (308)
-9.7%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
65.3% (49)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
48.5% (136)
-5.8%
On power play, Grant has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Goodrow is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Goodrow shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Grant
Home
44.3% (314)
60.3% (257)
Away
47.7% (279)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Goodrow
Grant
P1
46.8%
54.7%
P2
44.0%
54.0%
P3
47.1%
57.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Derek Grant |